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Supercomputer predicts Euro 2024 winners

This summer, a sizable contingent of the world’s most exceptional attackers will go to Europe for Euro 2024.

Naturally, some players won’t be present, such as Erling Haaland, the planet’s most deadly center forward, but Germany will still feature a large number of amazing sharpshooters.

With their various countries, they will all be vying for the Henri Delaunay Cup in an attempt to write history. But like any great strikers, Europe’s best nines will also be salivating over the possibility of winning the Golden Boot for themselves in Euro 2024.
With Euro 2024 rapidly approaching, there’s little doubt that it will be one of the most hotly contested competitions ever.

Supercomputer predicts Euro 2024 winners

While many nations are capable of upending the odds and pulling off an unexpected upset, six or seven teams genuinely believe they could be named the monarchs of the continent come July’s middle.

It remains to be seen if any of them can replicate Greece’s success at Euro 2004, but they will be excited about the opportunity to mix it up with Europe’s biggest names in Germany.

Thanks to Opta’s fabled supercomputer, we can take a closer look at the tournament favourites…


Opta supercomputer predicts Euro 2024 winners

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England are Opta’s favourites / Richard Sellers/Allstar/GettyImages

If you’re an England fan of a superstitious disposition, look away now. That’s right, Gareth Southgate’s side have been handed the best chance of lifting the Henri Delaunay Cup at the Olympiastadion on 14 July, going one step further than they did as Euro 2020 finalists last time out. According to the data, they have a 19.9% chance of a first European Championship triumph.

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However, hot on their tails will be 2022 World Cup finalists France, the side that sent England packing at the tournament in Qatar. They are given a 19.1% chance of glory despite being most neutrals’ favourites, with Kylian Mbappe and company offered a 30.4% chance of reaching the final – 0.7% lower than England’s odds of making the showpiece event.

Host nations tend to have a major advantage at major international tournaments, with Germany the side set to prosper this year. They are some way off England and France according to Opta, but they still have a 12.4% chance of claiming a record fourth European crown.

Spain have also won the tournament three times since its inception and have a 9.6% chance of overtaking Germany in the rankings, while 2016 champions Portugal are given a 9.2% shot in what could be Cristiano Ronaldo’s final tournament.

A somewhat rejuvenated Netherlands side are looking to make amends for poor recent performances in the competition, but have just a 5.1% chance of winning a second title. Despite winning Euro 2020, reigning champions Italy have just a 5% chance of glory.

Who could be dark horses at Euro 2024?

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Could Denmark reach the latter stages? / LISELOTTE SABROE/GettyImages

Perennial underachievers Belgium can’t really be considered a dark horse with the likes of Kevin De Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku in their squad, but recent tournament showings have left a lot to be desired. The fact that they have been given a 4.7% shot at winning the whole thing is perhaps a little generous.

Denmark surprised a few by reaching the semi-finals at Euro 2024, even after Christian Eriksen collapsed on the pitch during the group stage, and the 1992 winners are ninth favourites for the trophy at 2.2%.

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2018 World Cup finalists Croatia are given a 2% chance and close out the top ten of favourites, but Luka Modric’s side have proven time and time again they should never be discounted on the big stage.

Scotland fans hoping for a surprise run to the latter stages of the competition might be somewhat buoyed by the fact that Opta give them a 23.5% chance of making it to the quarter-finals. An overall victory sits at just 1%, however, alongside Ukraine and Serbia.

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